Торговые санкции и экономическая стабильность: данные из Казахстана

рассмотреть, как санкции, введенные в отношении России, влияют на стабильность экономики Казахстана, с помощью разработанного интегрального индекса стабильности экономики.

Исследование основывается на совокупности методик расчета интегрального показателя стабильности экономики. Для анализа имеющихся научных разработок в сфере расчета интегральных показателей стабильности были применены методы сопоставления и сравнения. Предварительная обработка исходных данных включала в себя последовательное применение методов нормирования, а именно метода максимум/минимум, затем был проведен расчет интегральных показателей.

Оригинальность предлагаемого исследования заключается в разработке методологии расчета интегрального индекса стабильности с учетом 9 показателей. Полученный индекс стабильности помогает в изучении влияния глобальных экономических санкций, введенных в отношении России на стабильность экономики Казахстана. Это дает возможность понять и определить векторы дальнейшего развития Казахстана.

Результаты исследования показывают снижение основных макроэкономических показателей в Казахстане через год после введения санкций, что четко отражается как на общих, так и на отдельных показателях экономической стабильности. Дальнейший анализ показывает, что санкции против России приводят к структурным дисбалансам в экономике Казахстана, но также способствуют росту его экономики и стимулируют внешнюю торговлю. Эта статья дополняет существующие исследования о влиянии санкций на соседние с Россией страны. Рекомендуется проанализировать влияние антироссийских санкций на других членов ЕАЭС в будущем.

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