Preview

Central Asian Economic Review

Advanced search

Analyzin the worth of stocks through fundamental analysis: insights from the Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

https://doi.org/10.52821/2789-4401-2024-6-217-230

Abstract

The purpose of the article is furnishing recommendations for judicious buy or sell signals conducive to informed investment decisions.

The methodology of this article was based on theoretical and empirical research methods: a comprehensive analysis of the value of Kazakhstan stock market, as well as the the utilization of coefficients derived from a multiple regression analysis and the consideration of key value drivers for the KASE Index, as of November 15, 2023.

Originality/value of the research: Nowadays there exists a multitude of misconceptions surrounding the practices of security selection and fundamental analysis, predominantly emanating from the fallacious belief that the entirety of available information is accurately incorporated into security prices. Nevertheless, fundamental analysis retains its pivotal role in evaluating the financial robustness of securities, particularly within the realm of long-term investment strategies.

Conclusion: Based on the analysis of KASE Index stocks with a focus on Earnings Yield (EY), PE Ratio to Price (PEP ratio) as well as B/P ratio, it was found that KZTO KZ and KEGC KZ shares are fairly priced and it was also found that KCEL KZ and KAP KZ shares have attractive opportunities for investors in the long term. We believe that the information provided is of practical importance for investors and traders who aim to optimise their decision-making process and overall trading strategy.

About the Authors

Zh. Akinova
KIMEP University
Kazakhstan

Akinova Zhanar,

Almaty



A. Faizulayev
KIMEP University
Kazakhstan

Faizulayev Alimshan – PhD in Finance, 

Almaty



Y. Kabildinova
KIMEP University
Kazakhstan

Kabildinova Yelara – Bachelor of Accounting and Audit, 

Almaty



References

1. Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417. Blackwell Publishing for the American Finance Association.

2. Shleifer, A. (2000). Inefficient markets: An introduction to behavioral finance. Oxford University Press.

3. Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. J. (2011). Investments and portfolio management (9th ed.). McGraw Hill.

4. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80, 237–251.

5. De Bondt, W. M., & Thaler, R. H. (1990). Do security analysts overreact? American Economic Review, 80(2), 52–57.

6. Chopra, N., Lakonishok, J., & Ritter, J. R. (1992). Measuring abnormal performance: Do stocks overreact? Journal of Financial Economics, 31(2), 235–268.

7. Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91.

8. Ogden, J., Jen, F., & O’Connor, P. (2003). Advanced corporate finance: Policies and strategies. Prentice Hall.

9. Brealey, R., Myers, S., & Allen, F. (2006). Corporate finance (8th ed.). McGraw-Hill.

10. Arnold, G. (2008). Corporate financial management (4th ed.). Pearson Education.

11. Graham, B., & Dodd, D. L. (1934). Security analysis. McGraw-Hill.

12. Piotroski, J. D. (2000). Value investing: The use of historical financial statement information to separate winners from losers. Journal of Accounting Research, 38, 1–41. https://doi.org/10.2307/2672906

13. Ying, Q., Tahir, Y., Qurat, U. A., Yasmeen, A., & Shahid, R. M. (2019). Stock investment and excess returns: A critical review in the light of the efficient market hypothesis. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 12(2), 1–22.

14. Rosenberg, B., Reid, K., & Lanstein, R. (1985). Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency. Journal of Portfolio Management, 11, 18–28.

15. Fama, E., & French, K. (1992). The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance, 47, 427–465.

16. Fama, E., & French, K. (2000). Forecasting profitability and earnings. Journal of Business, 73(2), 161–175.

17. Enow, S. T. (2022). Investigating the weekend anomaly and its implications: Evidence from international financial markets. Journal of Accounting, Finance and Auditing Studies, 8(4), 322–333.

18. Suzana, B., Sinisa, B., & Zoran, I. (2013). Strategy of stock valuation by fundamental analysis. Skopje, 4(1), 45–51.

19. Herawati, A., & Putra, A. (2018). The influence of fundamental analysis on stock prices: The case of food and beverage industries. European Research Studies Journal, 21(3), 316–326.

20. Sharma, L., Patil, P., & Choudhari, S. (2021). Fundamental & technical analysis of stock for beginners. International Journal of Innovative Science and Research Technology, 6(5), 1334–1339.

21. Jeong, J., Lee, Y., & Mukherji, S. (2009). Do Dow stocks offer a value premium? Journal of Wealth Management, 12(3), 95–103.

22. Athanassakos, G. (2009). Value versus growth stock returns and the value premium: The Canadian experience 1985–2005. Canadian Journal of Administrative Sciences, 26, 109–121.

23. Bevanda, L. M., & Arnaut-Berilo, A. Z. A. (2021). Performance of value and growth stocks in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Business Systems Research, 12(2), 268–283.

24. Enow, S. T. (2023). Modelling stock market prices using the open, high, and close prices: Evidence from international financial markets. International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research, 15(3), 52–59.

25. Chen, N., & Zhang, F. (1998). Risk and return of value stocks. Journal of Business, 71(4), 501–535. https://doi.org/10.1086/209755

26. Zhang, L. (2005). The value premium. Journal of Finance, 60(1), 67–103. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00725.x

27. Piotroski, J. D., & So, E. C. (2012). Identifying expectation errors in value/glamour strategies: A fundamental analysis approach. Review of Financial Studies, 25(9), 2841–2875. http://www.jstor.org/stable/23263573

28. Eriksson, P., Forsberg, T., & Gustavsson, N. (2011). Fundamental stock analysis: A study of the fundamental analysis for practical use at the Swedish Stock Exchange [Unpublished bachelor’s dissertation]. University of Jönköping.

29. Wafi, A. S., Hassan, H., & Mabrouk, A. (2015). Fundamental analysis models in financial markets: Review study. Procedia Economics and Finance, 30, 939–947. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(15)01344-1

30. Muhammad, S. (2018). The relationship between fundamental analysis and stock returns based on the panel data analysis: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 9(3), 84–96.

31. Daniswara, H. P., & Daryanto, W. M. (2019). Earnings per share (EPS), price book value (PBV), return on asset (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) effect on stock return. South East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics and Law, 20(1), 11–27.

32. Tabot, E. S. (2022). Fundamental analysis from value drivers: The case of banking, industrial, consumer goods, healthcare, and tech firms listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 26(4), 1–11.

33. Bentes, S. R., & Navas, R. (2013). The fundamental analysis: An overview. International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance and Economic Sciences, 13(1), 389–393.


Review

For citations:


Akinova Zh., Faizulayev A., Kabildinova Y. Analyzin the worth of stocks through fundamental analysis: insights from the Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE). Central Asian Economic Review. 2024;(6):217-230. https://doi.org/10.52821/2789-4401-2024-6-217-230

Views: 88


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2789-4398 (Print)
ISSN 2789-4401 (Online)