SHORT-TERM FORECASTING MODEL OF MILK PRODUCTION
Abstract
Purpose is to define the place and share of regional milk production and dairy products in the country's economy.
In methodology used dynamic analysis for 1990-2018 and forecast based on mathematic model the milk production for 3 years.
Originality shown conducted an assessment of the regional market of dairy products and its prospects for development.
Identified the major trends and factors of changes in the productions efficiency and in milk distribution are findings of the research.
Recommendations for milk market development are proposed. The forecast of raw milk production is based on the dynamic time series model.
About the Authors
A. Baiguzhinova
Narxoz University
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan
Almaty
R. Elshibayev
Narxoz University
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan
Almaty
References
1. Kirdosinova K.A. Prodovol'stvennaja bezopasnost' Kazahstana: ocenka sostojanija i puti obespechenija. Nauchnyj zhurnal «Aktual'nye problemy jekonomiki», № 6 (144), 2013. 247-257 str.
2. Saktaeva A.A. Sovremennye tendencii proizvodstva moloka i molochnyh produktov Vestnik KASU №3 – 2010 259 str.
3. Koncepcii realizacii investicionnoj otraslevoj programmy razvitija molochnogo zhivotnovodstva na 2018-2027 gg.
4. FAO. 2019. Dairy Market Review, March 2019. Rome.
5. Oficial'nyi internet-resurs Vsemirnogo Banka [Elektron. resurs]. – 2019. – URL: https://www.worldbank.org (data obrascheniya: 18.09.2019)
6. «Agrobiznes-2020» 2013-2020 zhyldarga arnalgan Kazakstan Respublikasynda agroonerkasіptіk keshendі damytudyn bagdarlamasy
7. Oficial'nyi internet-resurs Komiteta po statistike [Elektron.resurs]. – 2019. – URL: http://www.stat.gov.kz (data obrascheniya: 02.09.2019)
8. Martine Dirven Dairy Clusters in Latin America in the Context of Globalization International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 2(3/4): 301–313
9. Oficial'nyi internet-resurs Vsemirnoi organizacii zdravoohraneniya [Elektron. resurs]. – 2019. – URL: https://www.who.int (data obrascheniya: 8.08.2019)
10. Oficial'nyi internet-resurs rynochnyh issledovanii [Elektron.resurs]. – 2019. – URL: https://www.marketresearch.com (data obrascheniya: 6.08.2019)
11. Labinov V. V. Problemy molochnoj promyshlennosti i puti ih razreshenija. Materialy mezhdunarodnoj nauchno-prakticheskoj konferencii «Molochnaja industrija 2007», M.: ANO «Molochnaja promyshlennost'», 2007. - 152 s.
12. Rahmetova R.О. Jekonometrika. –Almaty: Jekonomika, 2015. - 206 b.
13. Jekonometrika: uchebnik / pod red. I.I. Eliseevoj. M.: Finansy i statistika, 2005. - 450 s.
14. Eliseeva I.I., Flud N.A., Juzbashev M.M. Praktikum po obshhej teorii statistiki / pod red. I.I. Eliseevoj. - M.: Finansy i statistika, 2008. - 512 s.
15. Oficial'nyi internet-resurs Upravleniya sel'skogo hozyaistva VKO [Elektron.resurs]. – 2019. – URL: http://www.agro.vko.gov.kz (data obrascheniya: 05.09.2019).
16. Porter, M. E. 1998. “Clusters and the new economics of competition.” Harvard Business Review, November-December: 77–90
Review
For citations:
Baiguzhinova A., Elshibayev R. SHORT-TERM FORECASTING MODEL OF MILK PRODUCTION. Central Asian Economic Review. 2019;(5):75-83. (In Kazakh)
Views:
278
Email this article 