Features of demographic transition in Kazakhstan regions

Purpose of the study is to identify the features of the demographic transition in in the Kazakhstan regions.

Methodology. The study was conducted based on a comparison of general indicators of fertility, mortality and natural increase in the regions of Kazakhstan for 2000 and 2022, as well as the age and sex structure of the population by region at the beginning of 2023. Depending on the values of general indicators of population reproduction, the regions of Kazakhstan are divided into 5 groups. A similar grouping was made according to the type of reproductive structure based on the G. Zunberg scale.

Originality / value of the research. The data obtained made it possible to assess the situation with population reproduction in the regions of Kazakhstan and classify them from the perspective of the demographic transition.

Findings. The results of the study showed both a significant discrepancy in the demographic situation between regions, and its change from 2000 to 2022. Thus, according to the general indicator of natural growth in 2000, more than a third of the regions (6 out of 16) were included in the first group (low level of natural growth), and in 2022 – only a fifth (4 regions out of 20). The results of grouping regions according to the Zunberg scale showed good comparability with the results of grouping regions according to the general coefficien of natural increase. The difference is explained by the fact that the grouping of regions according to the Zunberg scale reflects the situation that has developed in the regions over a long period of time, and the grouping of regions according to the general natural growth rate reflects the situation only for 2022.

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