Current state and prospects of the Chinese gas market
https://doi.org/10.52821/2789-4401-2023-6-53-65
Abstract
The purpose of the study. Analyze the state of the Chinese gas market, the relationship between the problem of imported gas supplies and economic factors for the chain of the Chinese gas industry.
Methodology. The research is based on the methods of an economic and mathematical model for the efficiency of natural gas transportation, a weighted average multi-index indicator, analysis of statistical data, study of scientific and journalistic literature. The value of research. The authors of the article identified topical issues of ensuring energy security, considering the trends of the global and Chinese gas market and the opportunity for further international cooperation. The recommendations proposed by the authors are of real importance for understanding the Chinese gas market.
The results of the study. The authors of the article analyzed data on the demand and consumption of natural gas in China, as well as on the indices of the supplier countries in recent years. It is concluded that the Chinese gas market has great potential for the development of energy cooperation, and China also concluded that it is highly dependent on imports in the structure of gas consumption. Pipeline gas is an important source of natural gas imports to China and one of the main guarantees of energy security. Based on the results of the analysis, the prospects of cooperation between China and such supplier countries as Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Russia in the gas industry are substantiated.
About the Authors
Zh. ZhumanKazakhstan
Almaty
Zhai Xuan
Kazakhstan
Almaty
A. Makulova
Kazakhstan
Almaty
References
1. Tomberg, I. (2023). Global Energy Trends. In: Baykov A., Shakleina T. (eds) Polycentric World Order in the Making. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore, 335-363. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-5375-0_14.
2. Saparbaev, A. D. and Zhai, Xuan (2022). Riski vneshneekonomicheskoj deyatel'nosti i ih reshenie – na vzglyade neftegazovogo sotrudnichestva Kazahstana i Kitaya. I International scientific conference. Vena, Austria. 15-16th december 2022. 29-34 (In Russian).
3. Barcho, M. H. and Zhuravleva, T. V. (2021). Torgovo-ekonomicheskoe vzaimodejstvie Kitaya i Rossii v sfere postavok prirodnogo gaza. Ekonomika i biznes: teoriya i praktika, 11–2, 13-15 (In Russian).
4. Van, S. (2019). «Odin poyas i odin put'»: sotrudnichestvo stran Central'noj Azii i Kitaya v sfere postavki prirodnogo gaza. Eurasian Juridical Journal, 9(136), 42-44.
5. Yang, B., Swe, T., Chen, Y., Zeng, C., Shu, H., Li, X., and ... Sun, L. (2021). Energy cooperation between Myanmar and China under One Belt One Road: Current state, challenges and perspectives. Energy, 215, 119130.
6. Li, H. B. and Zhang, J. (2021). China’s energy consumptions structure and forecast on natural gas demand. Ecological Economy, 37(8), 71-78.
7. Xue, M., Deng, T. and Liu, D. (2016). CNPC Uses an Iterative Two-Stage Convex Relaxation Approach to Operate Natural Gas Pipelines. Interfaces, 6(46), 463-553, DOI: 10.1287/inte.2016.0867.
8. Lapshina, O. A. (2023). Perspektivy narashchivaniya postavok gaza na rynok Kitaya. Gazovaya promyshlennost', 2(845), 32-42 (In Russian).
9. Hotimskij, K. V. (2023). Faktornyj analiz dinamiki sprosa i predlozheniya gaza v Kitae v 2010–2021 gg. Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom, 2(218), 63-69 (In Russian).
10. Zhang, J., Tan, Y., Zhang, T., Yu, K., Wang, X. and Zhao, Q. (2020). Natural gas market and underground gas storage development in China. Journal of Energy Storage, 29, 101338.
11. Li, J., She, Y., Gao, Y., Li, M., Yang, G. and Shi, Y. (2020). Natural gas industry in China: development situation and prospect. Natural Gas Industry B, 7(6), 604-613.
12. Dong, X. C. and Kong, Z. Y. (2017). Risk analysis of natural gas imports in China from the perspective of supply chain. Natural gas industry, 5(37), 113-118.
13. Wang, X., Qiu, Y., Chen, J. and Hu, X. (2022). Evaluating natural gas supply security in China: An exhaustible resource market equilibrium model. Resources Policy, 76, 102562.
14. Zhang, L. and Bai, W. (2020). Risk assessment of China’s natural gas Importation: A supply chain perspective. Sage Open, 10(3), 2158244020939912.
15. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2022. 71st edition. (2022). London, 57 p.
16. Review of Maritime transportation 2022. (2022). UNCTAD, 174 p.
17. Data. (2023). National Bureau of Statistics of China. Retrieved October 13, 2023, from http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/.
18. Moghaddam, H. (2019). Role of Natural Gas in China 2050. GECF, 15 p.
Review
For citations:
Zhuman Zh., Xuan Zh., Makulova A. Current state and prospects of the Chinese gas market. Central Asian Economic Review. 2023;(6):53-65. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.52821/2789-4401-2023-6-53-65