caerCentral Asian Economic ReviewCentral Asian Economic Review2789-43982789-4401Университет Нархоз10.52821/2789-4401-2026-2-7-17caer-1765Research ArticleГЛОБАЛИЗАЦИЯ И ЦЕНТРАЛЬНАЯ АЗИЯGLOBALIZATION AND CENTRAL ASIAВлияние потребления возобновляемой энергии на экономический рост в странах Содружества Независимых ГосударствThe impact of renewable energy consumption on economic growth in the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent StatesАкматоваБ. Н.AkmatovaB.

Акматова Бермет Нурланбековна – магистрант,

Бишкек

Bishkek

akmatovabb.99@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3711-6918ОсконбаеваЗ. Ж.OskonbaevaZ.

Осконбаева Замира Жолдошбековна – доц., PhD,

Бишкек

Bishkek

zamira.oskonbaeva@manas.edu.kgКыргызско-Турецкий университет «Манас»КыргызстанKyrgyz-Turkish Manas UniversityKyrgyzstan20262406202602717Copyright © Акматова Б.Н., Осконбаева З.Ж., 20262026Акматова Б.Н., Осконбаева З.Ж.Akmatova B., Oskonbaeva Z.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://caer.narxoz.kz/jour/article/view/1765

Современное развитие мировой экономики сопровождается ростом значения возобновляемых источников энергии, что обусловлено задачами повышения энергетической безопасности, снижения углеродной интенсивности производства и обеспечения устойчивого экономического развития. Для стран Содружества Независимых Государств (СНГ) возобновляемая энергетика приобретает особое значение в условиях структурной трансформации экономики и необходимости диверсификации энергетического баланса.

Целью настоящего исследования является эмпирическая оценка взаимосвязи между долей возобновляемых источников энергии в структуре конечного энергопотребления и экономическим ростом стран СНГ в период 1997–2021 гг. На основе данных по шести странам СНГ (Кыргызстан, Российская Федерация, Республика Беларусь, Республика Казахстан, Республика Таджикистан и Республика Узбекистан) применена модель регрессии с фиксированными эффектами, позволяющая учесть межстрановую неоднородность и устойчивые во времени институциональные и структурные особенности экономик региона.

Научная значимость исследования заключается в получении эмпирических оценок, раскрывающих взаимосвязь между потреблением возобновляемой энергетики и экономическим ростом в странах СНГ. Практическая значимость работы состоит в формировании аналитических ориентиров для разработки долгосрочных стратегий энергетического и экономического развития, при этом интерпретация результатов ограничивается выявлением устойчивых взаимосвязей и не предполагает строгих причинно-следственных выводов.

Полученные результаты свидетельствуют о наличии статистически значимой положительной взаимосвязи между увеличением доли возобновляемых источников энергии и уровнем ВВП на душу населения. Наряду с этим подтверждается ключевая роль инвестиционной активности и демографического фактора в формировании экономического роста, тогда как внешняя торговля в рассматриваемый период не выступала устойчивым источником роста для стран СНГ.

The modern development of the global economy is accompanied by a growing importance of renewable energy sources, driven by the objectives of enhancing energy security, reducing the carbon intensity of production, and ensuring sustainable economic development. For the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), renewable energy has acquired particular significance in the context of structural economic transformation and the need to diversify the energy mix.

The purpose of this study is to provide an empirical assessment of the relationship between the share of renewable energy in total final energy consumption and economic growth in CIS countries over the period 1997–2021. The empirical analysis is based on panel data for six CIS countries and employs a fixed effects regression model, which makes it possible to account for cross-country heterogeneity as well as time-invariant institutional and structural characteristics of the region’s economies.

The results indicate a statistically significant positive relationship between an increase in the share of renewable energy sources and the level of GDP per capita. In addition, the findings confirm the key role of investment activity and demographic factors in shaping economic growth, while external trade did not serve as a stable source of growth for CIS countries during the period under consideration.

The scientific significance of the study lies in obtaining empirical estimates that reveal the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in CIS countries. The practical importance of the research lies in providing analytical guidelines for the development of long-term energy and economic development strategies. The interpretation of the results is limited to identifying stable relationships and does not imply strict causal conclusions.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.