caerCentral Asian Economic ReviewCentral Asian Economic Review2789-43982789-4401Университет Нархоз10.52821/2789-4401-2025-6-83-101caer-1673Research ArticleНАЦИОНАЛЬНАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА: ВЕКТОРЫ РАЗВИТИЯNATIONAL ECONOMY: DEVELOPMENT VECTORSЭкономическое развитие сельского хозяйства Казахстана в условиях изменения климатаEconomic development of agriculture in Kazakhstan in the context of climate changehttps://orcid.org/0009-0006-5058-7729БалтабайТ.BaltabayT.

Алматы

Baltabay Tomiris– PhD Student, HSEB.

Almaty

tomiris.baltabay@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4965-5908БимендиеваЛ.BimendiyevaL.

Алматы

Bimendiyeva Laila – Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, HSEB.

Almaty

leila.bimendiyeva@kaznu.edu.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1154-4287КалиеваА.KaliyеvaA.

Алматы

Kaliyеva Assem – PhD, Senior Lecturer, HSEB.

Almaty

assem.kaliyeva@gmail.comКазахский национальный университет имени Аль-ФарабиКазахстанAl-Farabi Kazakh National UniversityKazakhstan2025260220260683101Copyright © Балтабай Т., Бимендиева Л., Калиева А., 20262026Балтабай Т., Бимендиева Л., Калиева А.Baltabay T., Bimendiyeva L., Kaliyеva A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://caer.narxoz.kz/jour/article/view/1673

Цель исследования – данная статья исследует, как климатические изменения влияют на устойчивость сельского хозяйства в Казахстане, подчеркивая, что экологические изменения напрямую воздействуют на экономическое благополучие и долгосрочный рост.

Методология – используется метод описательного анализа для оценки тенденций потепления, неравномерного распределения осадков, усиливающейся засухи и их влияния на урожайность, продуктивность животноводства, деградацию почв и наличие пресной воды.

Оригинальность / ценность исследования – исследование расширяет существующие знания о климатических рисках в Центральной Азии, связывая экологические изменения с макроэкономической устойчивостью Казахстана и учитывая местные адаптационные меры, уже опробованные в стране.

Результаты исследования – результаты показывают возрастание стрессовых факторов вследствие повышения температуры, снижения осадков, продолжительных засух и расширения аридных зон, что угрожает стабильному доступу к продуктам питания и доходам сельских жителей. Практические рекомендации включают улучшенные системы орошения, диверсифицированные модели посевов и технологии, устойчивые к экстремальным условиям, что позволяет снизить ущерб и повысить социальную адаптивность и экономическую стабильность.

Purpose – The study explores rising climate fluctuations in Kazakhstan, focusing on agriculture’s resilience; it highlights consequences for income security, village communities, or future planning.

Methodology – This research uses descriptive methods alongside comparison techniques, relying on existing data. It examines patterns in rising temperatures, shifts in rainfall, more frequent droughts, declining soil quality, or limited water access. These environmental factors are then connected to how well farming performs over time.

Originality / value – The study adds to existing work on climate risks in Central Asia by linking environmental, financial, and sector-level factors into one analysis approach while using varied structural choices per sentence. A rare look at how farming and climate interact in Kazakhstan is provided, showing local adaptation efforts already tested in real conditions instead of relying on generic solutions.

Findings – Results indicate rising heat stress, less rain, frequent droughts, and growing dry areas reduce crop output, animal performance, or soil health, thus harming food access plus income in rural regions. The study highlights key adaptive actions like smart irrigation tools, varied farming setups, or sturdy equipment and methods which may improve resistance while aiding lasting growth.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.