caerCentral Asian Economic ReviewCentral Asian Economic Review2789-43982789-4401Университет Нархоз10.52821/2789-4401-2025-2-35-45caer-1460Research ArticleНАЦИОНАЛЬНАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА: ВЕКТОРЫ РАЗВИТИЯNATIONAL ECONOMY: DEVELOPMENT VECTORSАнализ углеродного баланса и экономической стоимости земель Казахстана: динамика и перспективы управленияAnalysis of the carbon balance and economic value of land in Kazakhstan: dynamics and management prospectshttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5021-1883ОскенбаевЕ. С.OskenbayevY. S.

Оскенбаев Есенгали Сайлаубекович – PhD, Ассоциированный профессор

Алматы

Almaty

yessengali.oskenbayev@narxoz.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8608-488XИсабаевМ. М.IssabayevM. M.

Исабаев Мурат Маратович – PhD, Ассоциированный профессор

Алматы

Almaty

murat.isabayev@narxoz.kzУниверситет НархозКазахстанNarxoz UniversityKazakhstan202509072025023545Copyright © Оскенбаев Е.С., Исабаев М.М., 20252025Оскенбаев Е.С., Исабаев М.М.Oskenbayev Y.S., Issabayev M.M.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://caer.narxoz.kz/jour/article/view/1460

Цель исследования – оценка деградации земель Казахстана за 2001 и 2020 годы, анализ экономических последствий, выявление критических зон и определение приоритетных направлений инвестицийдля успешного восстановления.

Методология исследования. В исследовании использованы спутниковые данные дистанционногозондирования MODIS, для мониторинга земных покровов и землепользования, также для отслеживанияизменения растительности, измерения биоразнообразия и анализа экологических параметров. Корреляционный анализ и визуализация данных проведены с применением программных обеспечении R.

Оригинальность / ценность исследования – статья вносит вклад в научную литературу по оценкедеградации земель Казахстана на основе временных данных MODIS для анализа изменений в покровеземель, позволяющий проводить точный и регулярный мониторинг изменений. Исследование имеетпрактическую ценность для принятий решений и создания устойчивых стратегий управления земельными ресурсами Казахстана.

Результаты исследования демонстрируют умеренный рост экономической стоимости для невосстановленных территорий Казахстана, когда как восстановленные территории, напротив, испытали значительное снижение стоимости. Сравнительный региональный анализ демонстрирует положительную динамику экономическую стоимости земель в одних районах, и снижение в других. Полученные результаты указывают на необходимость дополнительных исследований и разработки эффективных стратегий землепользования, направленных на улучшение углеродного баланса и повышение экономической ценности земель Казахстана на долгосрочной перспективе.

The purpose of this study is to assess land degradation in Kazakhstan for the years 2001 and 2020, analyze its economic consequences, identify critical zones, and priority investment areas for successful restoration.

Methodology

Methodology. This study utilizes MODIS satellite remote sensing data to monitor land cover and land use, track vegetation changes, measure biodiversity, and analyze ecological parameters. Correlation analysis and data visualization were conducted using the R programming software.

Originality / Value of the research. This study contributes to the scientific literature on land degradation assessment in Kazakhstan by utilizing time-series MODIS data to analyze land cover changes, enabling accurate and consistent monitoring. The research has practical value for decision-making and the development of sustainable land management strategies in Kazakhstan.

Findings

Findings. The results indicate a moderate increase in the economic value of non-restored areas in Kazakhstan, whereas restored areas have experienced a significant decline in value. A comparable regional analysis reveals positive economic dynamics in some regions while showing a decline in others. These findings highlight the need for further research and the development of effective land-use strategies aimed at improving the carbon balance and enhancing the long-term economic value of Kazakhstan’s land resources.

деградация земельизменение климатапродуктивность растениеводства и живот- новодствасельскохозяйственные доходыглобальное потеплениеMODISLand degradationclimate changecrop and livestock productivityagricultural incomesglobal warmingMODISСтатья опубликована в рамках проекта, который реализуется за счет грантового финансирования на 2024-2026 гг. Комитета науки Министерства науки и высшего образования Респуб- лики Казахстан по теме ИРН: AP23488084 “Исследование деградации земли и экономических возможностей в Казахстане: на основе интеграции экспериментов выбора устойчивой эколого-интенсивной трансформации”.The article was published as part of a project funded by a grant from the Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2024-2026 on the topic IRN: AP23488084 "Addressing Land Degradation and Economic Opportunities in Kazakhstan: Integrating Choice Experiments for Sustainable Eco-Intensive Transformation"ReferencesNachtergaele F., van Velthuizen H., Verelst L., Batjes N. H., Dijkshoorn K., van Engelen V. W. P., Fischer G., Jones A., Montanarella L. The Harmonized World Soil Database // Proceedings of the 19th World Congress of Soil Science, Soil Solutions for a Changing World, Brisbane, Australia, 1–6 August 2010 / ред. R. J. Gilkes, N. 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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.